Posts BySpencer, Author at Affluent Christian Investor
The French Have No Word for ‘Deplorable’
French 10 year bond yields shot up to a four-year high this week, in response to alt-right National Front presidential candidate Marine Le Pen’s polling surge. The first round of voting for President is in April, and the centre-right … Read More
Trump’s Foreign Policy Could Make the World Great Again, Too
I’ve long maintained that the greatest asset Donald Trump had was his foreign policy. Every presidential candidate claims that their foreign policy is directed entirely towards “keeping America safe,” or some other euphemism for a realist foreign policy. But then … Read More
Why Trump’s Victory Has Nothing to Do With Racism
The left’s response to Trump’s stunning victory Tuesday night has thus far been to say, essentially, “I guess the US is made up of a lot more racists than we thought.” This excuse is nonsense. There are many reasons Trump won, … Read More
Trump Odds Nearly Doubled in Just Five Days
Two weeks ago, I wrote an article entitled “It’s Now Hillary’s Race to Lose,” saying that Trump was so far behind that his only chance of beating Clinton was that some unexpected catastrophe befalls her. I said the same thing … Read More
It’s Now Hillary’s Race to Lose
It’s become increasingly obvious over the past two weeks that there’s not really anything Trump can do to win this election. Virtually every poll that has come out, state polls and national polls, have shown Trump losing severely. A Monmouth … Read More
Pretty Good Debate Performance Not Good Enough
As I saw the un-endorsements of Trump from Republicans roll in Saturday morning, I thought that there was now basically one plausible scenario in which Trump wins.
That Clinton collapses during the debate. I thought Trump actually performed pretty … Read More
What’s Behind Trump’s Surge
Donald Trump is experiencing a big surge right now, in both political betting markets and in polling. In the betting markets, he’s gone from a 26.5% chance of winning the presidency September 1st, to a 33.8% chance of winning September … Read More
CNN, If You Don’t like Trump’s Plagiarism, Then Time To Fire Fareed
There’s an element of hypocrisy in CNN’s over-coverage of the Melania Trump plagiarism “scandal.” The wall-to-wall coverage of a relatively minor mistake by Melania and the Trump campaign might recall to memory a non-minor plagiarism scandal surrounding Fareed Zakaria from … Read More
Trump = Brexit
According to political betting markets, there is a roughly 25% chance Britain votes to leave the European Union today. In those same markets, there is a roughly 25% chance Donald Trump becomes the next President.
This chart shows that, … Read More
Sanders Was Never Going to be the Democratic Nominee
Monday night, Hillary Clinton anti-climatically became the presumptive nominee for the Democratic party. This should surprise absolutely no one. Despite the near-constant attempts by the media to pretend the Democratic primary was close, Bernie Sanders never really had a chance … Read More
Can Saudi Arabia Survive?
Saudi Arabia is in a more precarious economic and political situation than it has been in decades.
The bi-partisan push in the House to release classified pages of the 9/11 Commission Report has been resisted by the Obama administration, and … Read More
Data Says Trump Will Lose Presidency and Senate Too
The media attention has, understandably, been focused almost entirely on the Presidential race. Relatively little attention has been paid to what impact Donald Trump’s nomination will have on Republican’s chances of retaining the Senate and House majorities. According to the … Read More
The Republican Establishment Dug Its Own Grave
Last night, Donald Trump became the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party for President. Today, John Kasich dropped out at the one point in the race where his presence was actually bad for Trump. “NeverTrump” conservatives are already talking … Read More
Trump’s New York Win Not Enough to Unite Party
Trump and Clinton’s victories in New York are not surprising, nor do they represent a significant shift in the campaign. What they have demonstrated is that we are now in the stage of the campaign where most voters have already … Read More
Cruz Mimics Moderate
For most of the campaign so far, Ted Cruz has repeatedly stressed his deeply-held religious beliefs and ideological purity. He’s mocked the Republican establishment, emphasized the importance of his faith in every stump speech, debate, and town hall, and positioned … Read More
Why Republicans are Probably Doomed in November
The Republican party is headed to a brokered convention. After losing Wisconsin by a 13-point margin to Ted Cruz, Donald Trump now has to win about 60% of the remaining delegates; and that looks pretty unlikely, as in the past … Read More
Donald Trump is Right About NATO
Of all the controversial things Donald Trump said last week, the one Hillary Clinton decided to latch on to for her foreign policy outline speech was Trump’s comment on the United States’ role in NATO. He suggested that we should … Read More
Sorry, Sanderistas: Scandinavia is Not Socialist
A staple in Bernie Sanders campaign appearances is his assertion that the United States needs to be more like the “rest of the world.” He talks about the need for the United States to embrace the “democratic socialism” of so … Read More
Trump Nomination Still Not a Done Deal
It would be hard to imagine a better scenario for Donald Trump after Tuesday. He won every state except Ohio, which was looking more and more likely to be an easy win for Kasich as time went on. The largest … Read More
If Rubio Falls, the Party Must Back Cruz
If Marco Rubio does not win Florida, his campaign is over. The embarrassment of losing one’s home state, even by a small margin, is enough to end anyone’s campaign. Beyond that, it’s difficult to see how Rubio reaches the requisite … Read More
Prepare for a Brokered Convention
As the results rolled in for the 12 states that voted in last night’s primaries and caucuses, the mainstream media pundits were all saying two things: First, that Donald Trump is the inevitable nominee and that it’s impossible to … Read More
Two Man Race: Rubio Becomes the Anti-Trump
Last night we saw the Marco Rubio his supporters have been waiting months to see. As Donald Trump won states, dominated national opinion polls, and dominated the media’s attention, everyone who didn’t want Trump were waiting for Rubio, who is … Read More
New Hampshire Was Terrible for the Establishment
The New Hampshire primary was a bad night for the Republican Establishment. Not because Trump got twice as many votes as the runner-up; that was expected for months. Nor because Ted Cruz slightly outperformed expectations. It was a bad night … Read More
Christie’s Attack Hurts Republicans
It was clear during Saturday’s night debate that Chris Christie knew it was his last chance to get a good showing in New Hampshire. And that in order to do that he needed to substantially damage Marco Rubio’s standing among … Read More